December 19, 2010

Down and Derby - The Holiday Edition

1. Uncle Mo (Indian Charlie) Todd Pletcher - The unquestioned king of the juveniles has people triple crown dreaming.

2. To Honor and Serve (Bernardini) Bill Mott- The best at Aqueduct. How will that translate to Louisville?

3. Boys at Tosconova (Officer) Rick Dutrow - Classy and talented, but can the son of Officer go a distance?

4. Mucho Macho Man (Macho Uno) Katherine Ritvo - Been chasing Mott’s colt; distance should be no problem.

5. Premier Pegasus (Fusaichi Pegasus) Myung Cho- Looking good sprinting and bred to handle a route of ground.

6. Cool Blue Red Hot (Harlan’s Holiday) Angel Penna Jr. - Only faced maidens so far, but plenty of upside.

7. Dialed In (Mineshaft) Nick Zito - One race, and it was a doozy. Has the look of a Derby type of horse.

8. Santiva (Bernardini) Eddie Kenneally - Like the way he battled in between horses over the Churchill strip.

9. Comma to the Top (Bwana Charlie) Peter Miller - Electrifying at Hollywood, but I have my 10 furlong doubts.

10. Jaycito (Victory Gallop) Bob Baffert - BC Juvenile bolt makes this well bred colt a bit of an enigma.

11. Stay Thirsty (Bernardini) Todd Pletcher - Love the name, love the looks, but he needs to improve to run with Mo.

12. Tapizar (Tapit) Steve Asmussen - Ran away from his competition at Churchill like a real runner.

13. Brethren (Distorted Humor) Todd Pletcher - Super Saver’s little bro has impressed in his first two starts.

14. Sway Away (Afleet Alex) Jeff Bonde - Been away from the races for some time, but I liked what I saw at Del Mar.

15. Rogue Romance (Smarty Jones) Ken McPeek - Switch back to dirt earned him a distant 3rd in the BC.

16. J P’s Gusto (Successful Appeal) David Hofmans - Solid in California, what happened in the Juvenile?

17. Astrology (A. P. Indy) Steve Asmussen - Kentucky Jockey Club favorite ran well, but was outgamed to the wire.

18. Clubhouse Ride (Candy Ride) Craig Lewis- Dropped way back at Hollywood, but was full of run down the lane.

19. Mountain Town (Cape Town) Rick Dutrow - No match in the Remsen, maybe more distance will get him in the picture.

20. Gourmet Dinner (Trippi) Steve Standridge - Still not a big believer in this game colt at 10 furlongs, but he already has the earnings.

21. Major Gain (More Than Ready) Wayne Catalano - Dirt race was promising as he battled from the rail.

22. Archarcharch (Arch) Jinks Fires - Went from maiden to stakes winner yesterday. I like his distance potential.

23. Coil (Point Given) Tom Proctor - Recent maiden winner is by Point Given out of a Theatrical mare = distance.

24. Sherriff Cogburn
(Vindication) Don Von Hemel - Eager to see the return of this Midwestern flash.

25. Smash (Smart Strike) Bob Baffert - The maiden win was impressive, but no racing since July.

Here is To Honor and Serve handling Mucho Macho Man and Mountain Town in the Remsen.

9 comments:

LDP said...

Financial Empire by Empire Maker broke his maiden at Calder. He looked like he won it easy to me, but he may need some blinkers because he looked like he was waiting on horses once he made the lead.

Brian Zipse said...

I saw the race LDP, and he is definitely a colt to keep ane eye on.

Mike in SB said...

I love Uncle Mo, but I just don't like only two starts before the Derby. I know the last four Derby winners had this schedule but two never won another race and Big Brown was eased in the Belmont. I admit to being an old fashioned guy but I believe todays horses are not getting the foundation to win the Triple Crown

Brian Zipse said...

A trend I don't care for either, Mike.

Silent Sunday said...

obviously high on Uncle Mo...nothing to not love in my opinion...but 2 I'm really looking forward to next year, Brethren and Archarcharch.

LDP said...

Mike, BB was a sound horse in the Belmont. His quarter cracks that caused missed training and him nearly yanking his shoe of at the start of the race are what made him run so horribly, not a lack of racing. You also forget that BB was taken off training steroids 3 weeks prior to the race and probably lost energy while being hard to handle in the detention barn.


Mine That Bird had a very good 2yr old foundation and won the Derby with the perfect trip. Another thing is, even though he never won again is that he nearly won the Preakness and did quite well in the Belmont. He was in good form and then just went off. He may not have won, but he was in the money several times after that.

Super Saver loved CD and he loved mud. He was a good horse to begin with and his chances moved up by being at CD, having Calvin, and running in mud. After the Derby and a few other races tests were done and he was found to be injured. It is likely he had that injury after the Preakness.

If you get a horse that is sound enough and talented enough the lack of racing as a 2yr old or only 2 preps will probably not make a huge difference. Uncle Mo, so far, has been a sound and healthy horse. Something BB never was. He is by far the best of his crop, which neither S. Saver or MTB were. Street Sense was extremely talented, but had the luck of being born the same year as Curlin and Hard Spun.

Do I like the 2 starts? Not particularly. I would personally love to see him run in the Holly Bull before the Tampa Bay Derby and Wood, to give him the three preps.

markinsac said...

No Turbulent Descent? This filly has yet to sweat . . .

Brian Zipse said...

No fillies on this list, but I promise you Turbulent Descent will feature prominently on my upcoming Oaks list.

markinsac said...

She better be on top, Brian . . .